Voter Demographics

Who can vote in 2027, by generation and age band: 2019 census age structure projected to election day, joined with the IEBC 2022 register.

Scope

Population (2019)

666,748

Registered voters (2022)

281,053

Voting-age by Aug 2027 (est.)

472,162

Gen-z eligible 2027 (est.)

219,647

46.5% of the 2027 voting-age est.

Gen-z (born 1997-2012)

219,647 eligible

≈ 130,744 of today's registered voters, if registration mirrors the age structure.

Youth (18-34 in 2027)

263,288

The bloc every 2027 campaign is chasing.

Millennials (born 1981-1996)

134,816

Peak-turnout generation in Baringo.

Age structure · Baringo

2019 census population by five-year band.

0-4

95,031

5-9

99,555

10-14

101,592

15-19

80,948

20-24

61,845

25-29

47,258

30-34

39,840

35-39

28,725

40-44

24,521

45-49

21,490

50-54

15,825

55-59

13,141

60-64

11,231

65-69

8,898

70-74

7,502

75-79

3,701

80-84

2,844

85-89

1,497

90-94

693

95-99

419

100+

192

Voters by constituency and ward · Baringo

County age share (46.5%) applied to each seat's 2022 registered voters, an estimate, since sub-county age data isn't published.

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Estimated 2027 voting-age population by ward (county age share × 2022 register). Darker = more voting-age residents.

Methodology & sources

Age structure: KNBS 2019 Census (via OCHA COD-PS, data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ps-ken), from the 2019 census county tables (KNBS via OCHA).
Registered voters: IEBC 2022 General Election register (per ward), the same figures behind every seat page here.
2027 projections age the census cohorts forward to August 2027 (whoever was N years old in 2019 is N+8), ignoring mortality and migration; treat them as estimates.
Gen-z = born 1997-2012; those born by August 2009 are eligible in 2027. Constituency and ward figures apply the county's age share to the seat's registered voters.
These are eligibility and registration figures, never turnout predictions.