Voter Demographics

Who can vote in 2027, by generation and age band: 2019 census age structure projected to election day, joined with the IEBC 2022 register.

Population (2019)

987,625

Registered voters (2022)

479,401

Voting-age by Aug 2027 (est.)

779,798

Gen-z eligible 2027 (est.)

307,117

39.4% of the 2027 voting-age est.

Gen-z (born 1997-2012)

307,117 eligible

≈ 188,808 of today's registered voters, if registration mirrors the age structure.

Youth (18-34 in 2027)

365,381

The bloc every 2027 campaign is chasing.

Millennials (born 1981-1996)

209,275

Peak-turnout generation in Makueni.

Age structure · Makueni

2019 census population by five-year band.

0-4
96,425
5-9
111,402
10-14
136,393
15-19
122,859
20-24
79,775
25-29
65,884
30-34
66,259
35-39
56,527
40-44
49,928
45-49
46,855
50-54
32,560
55-59
29,243
60-64
26,824
65-69
22,999
70-74
17,029
75-79
9,371
80-84
7,407
85-89
4,165
90-94
3,408
95-99
1,459
100+
853

Voters by constituency and ward · Makueni

County age share (39.4%) applied to each seat's 2022 registered voters, an estimate, since sub-county age data isn't published.

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Estimated 2027 voting-age population by ward (county age share × 2022 register). Darker = more voting-age residents.

Methodology & sources

  • Age structure: KNBS 2019 Census (via OCHA COD-PS, data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ps-ken), from the 2019 census county tables (KNBS via OCHA).
  • Registered voters: IEBC 2022 General Election register (per ward), the same figures behind every seat page here.
  • 2027 projections age the census cohorts forward to August 2027 (whoever was N years old in 2019 is N+8), ignoring mortality and migration; treat them as estimates.
  • Gen-z = born 1997-2012; those born by August 2009 are eligible in 2027. Constituency and ward figures apply the county's age share to the seat's registered voters.
  • These are eligibility and registration figures, never turnout predictions.