Voter Demographics

Who can vote in 2027, by generation and age band: 2019 census age structure projected to election day, joined with the IEBC 2022 register.

Scope

Population (2019)

926,952

Registered voters (2022)

238,528

Voting-age by Aug 2027 (est.)

650,398

Gen-z eligible 2027 (est.)

318,335

48.9% of the 2027 voting-age est.

Gen-z (born 1997-2012)

318,335 eligible

≈ 116,747 of today's registered voters, if registration mirrors the age structure.

Youth (18-34 in 2027)

386,498

The bloc every 2027 campaign is chasing.

Millennials (born 1981-1996)

202,938

Peak-turnout generation in Turkana.

Age structure · Turkana

2019 census population by five-year band.

0-4

131,429

5-9

145,125

10-14

142,258

15-19

119,323

20-24

94,590

25-29

75,817

30-34

57,295

35-39

39,987

40-44

33,068

45-49

23,632

50-54

17,387

55-59

12,009

60-64

11,808

65-69

8,098

70-74

7,523

75-79

3,587

80-84

2,231

85-89

1,095

90-94

404

95-99

198

100+

Voters by constituency and ward · Turkana

County age share (48.9%) applied to each seat's 2022 registered voters, an estimate, since sub-county age data isn't published.

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Estimated 2027 voting-age population by ward (county age share × 2022 register). Darker = more voting-age residents.

Methodology & sources

Age structure: KNBS 2019 Census (via OCHA COD-PS, data.humdata.org/dataset/cod-ps-ken), from the 2019 census county tables (KNBS via OCHA).
Registered voters: IEBC 2022 General Election register (per ward), the same figures behind every seat page here.
2027 projections age the census cohorts forward to August 2027 (whoever was N years old in 2019 is N+8), ignoring mortality and migration; treat them as estimates.
Gen-z = born 1997-2012; those born by August 2009 are eligible in 2027. Constituency and ward figures apply the county's age share to the seat's registered voters.
These are eligibility and registration figures, never turnout predictions.